Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.360974 15.630307 18.107512 21.004490 24.291111 27.895459 32.138618
2025-03-30 10.047194 13.270991 17.156053 22.141831 28.325058 35.693174 45.084205
2025-04-06 7.478682 10.929465 15.438971 21.670743 29.951885 40.459590 54.662375
2025-04-13 5.585085 8.936396 13.640627 20.570308 30.331814 43.378748 61.876524
2025-04-20 4.849625 8.358504 13.577561 21.665761 33.589493 50.175188 74.556188
2025-04-27 4.351868 8.015437 13.750410 23.038739 37.275563 57.757979 88.791306
2025-05-04 3.759445 7.395306 13.379543 23.493427 39.582230 63.476728 100.715982
2025-05-11 3.180421 6.680334 12.732666 23.394034 40.968980 67.870014 110.922257
2025-05-18 2.656579 5.958737 11.955547 22.955008 41.721371 71.285171 119.801957
2025-05-25 2.229772 5.334863 11.248609 22.524647 42.399914 74.568164 128.607355
2025-06-01 1.873935 4.780295 10.580412 22.063508 42.945676 77.621878 137.171118
2025-06-08 1.504233 4.115851 9.597883 20.895359 42.127686 78.342998 141.971484
2025-06-15 1.363485 3.958898 9.642357 21.749819 45.125558 85.872670 158.791423
2025-06-22 1.240430 3.823656 9.724242 22.712050 48.455779 94.285671 177.765371
2025-06-29 1.023629 3.398371 9.110650 22.191519 48.949536 97.791640 188.636433
2025-07-06 0.807576 2.911082 8.265423 21.061209 48.129787 98.861044 195.308779
2025-07-13 0.752509 2.866266 8.451831 22.177592 51.850886 108.414374 217.462567
2025-07-20 0.716001 2.868360 8.752263 23.577990 56.256121 119.490690 242.912470
2025-07-27 0.638990 2.721337 8.650461 24.041740 58.750386 127.108135 262.463344
2025-08-03 0.549291 2.504469 8.327020 23.940346 60.029748 132.464040 278.112554
2025-08-10 0.460830 2.261472 7.886093 23.492511 60.506012 136.263403 291.022730
2025-08-17 0.386487 2.043476 7.472573 23.053493 60.949195 140.002390 303.984004
2025-08-24 0.322915 1.842923 7.069446 22.583051 61.267259 143.488480 316.611171